Climate change projections
The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) are the latest generation of
climate information for the United Kingdom. These provide
probabilistic projections of change for a number of climate
variables, with three future greenhouse gas emissions scenarios,
averaged over seven overlapping 30-year time periods, at 25km grid
resolution, as well as for 'administrative regions' and 'river
basin districts'.
The key trends the projections identify are:
- Hotter, drier summers; and
- Milder, wetter winters.
We can also expect to see:
- Increase in summer heat waves, extreme temperatures and
drought;
- Increased frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation
events;
- Reduced occurrence of frost and snowfall; and
- Sea level rise (depending on emissions scenario - central
estimates of sea level rise in Edinburgh are 10 - 18 cm by 2050 and
23 - 39 cm by 2095).
For more information, please visit the UK Climate Projections
website.