Report summary

A summary of observations from SEPA's State of Scotland's Environment 2006 report are described below:

Temperature

Scotland's temperature records indicate a recent and rapid warming trend, with average spring, summer and winter temperatures rising by more than 1°C since 1961. Over the same period there has been more than a 25% reduction in the number of days of frost (both air and ground frost). As a result, the growing season has also begun earlier and has significantly increased in length.

Rainfall

SEPA is the hydrometric authority for Scotland and we monitor rainfall and river flow at hundreds of sites across the country. Scotland has become much wetter since 1961. Winter precipitation (total rainfall and snowfall) has risen by almost 60% in the north and west, and high flow frequencies in western rivers have increased. The annual average precipitation in Scotland is up 20%.

Marine environment

The seas around Scotland have warmed by up to 1°C over the last 20 years. Warmer seas have prompted changes in the composition, abundance and distribution of a number of marine species, including plankton, fish, sea birds, whales, mammals, dolphins and porpoise.

Coastline

Sea level is rising all around the UK coastline. All Scottish mainland gauges have recorded a sea level rise over the long term, with the longest individual record at Aberdeen indicating an average sea rise of 0.6mm per year since 1862. Combined with evidence of increasing storminess and wave height in the North East Atlantic, this suggests that future storm surges will probably become more severe, leading to increased risk of coastal flooding.

SEPA is a sponsoring partner to the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), which provides planning advice to cope with the challenges and opportunities presented by the impacts of climate change in the marine environment:

Predicted impacts

The speed and impact of climate change will be become more severe if we remain heavily dependent on fossil fuels. Indeed, temperatures in Scotland may rise by up to 4°C by the end of the century, with consequences including milder and wetter winters, hotter and drier summers, more extreme weather events and rising sea levels.